Iraqi Civil War by the Numbers
Let's take two examples of acknowledged civil wars from the 20th century: One of the longest running, the Guatemalan Civil War and one of the bloodiest, the Bosnian secession from Yugoslavia.
In the former, the Guatemalan army and a mixture of military and civilian governments conducted a 35 year campaign against leftist guerrillas fighting on behalf of the indigenous Mayan majority. At the end of the war in 1996, estimates had 150,000 dead (mostly civilians) and 50,000 missing. Taken together that puts the number of casualties at about 5700 per year.
In the latter, the fall of Yugoslavia's communist regime led to the country's breakup with Croatia leaving first and Bosnia attempting to leave in February of 1992. In the ensuing conflict, started by Serbia ostensibly to protect Bosnia's Serb minority, 250,000 Serbs, Croats, and Muslims lost their lives before the fighting ceased in December of 1995. In other words, 5400+ casualties per month!
Now lets look at Iraq. In the three years of Bu$hCo's war, almost 40,000 civilians have lost their lives (official estimates) or as many as 180,000 (unofficial estimates). If we assume that only 1/4 of these lives were due to sectarian violence, and that a state of civil war has only existed for the last 6 months, the casualty rate is somewhere between 270+ per month (approaching Guatemala's rate) and 1250 per month! Now consider these additional items:
- Iyad Allawi, the former Iraqi Prime Minister, has asserted that 50 - 60 Iraqis are dying daily and that the country is in a state of civil war
- Casualties in Iraq continue to mount despite the supposed stabilizing influence of 150,000 foreign troops, a factor that did not exist in either Guatemala or Bosnia
- In the two days after the Golden Mosque was bombed, 90 Sunni mosques were attacked resulting in 160+ deaths just from that single incident
Thanks Helen, I've been thinking about this for a while, but didn't really even know the statistics myself until I started digging in.
You know, before they "challenged the media" to report the facts, maybe they should've checked the facts.
As example, did you see the Laura Logan interview over at Crooks and Liars this AM?
I think they know that reality is becoming pretty unimportant. Dispute global warming despite all the evidence. Accuse anyone who speaks up of partisanship, politics, grandstanding...they will just distort the truth and America will eat it up. Its getting to the point where we need to point fingers at ourselves.
We can talk about carbon taxes, greenhouse gasses- but as long as we are greedy CONSUMERS it is hopeless. As long as we remain blind, manipulated, bought and sold, and complacent- we bear some blame.
Right you are Stacy.
I think that Condi needs to head over to Iraq and hold a "Why can't we all just get along meeting?" with the major ethno-religious groups. That'll fix things right up. :-)
Sort of like the Hatfields and McCoy's only with plastique.
(your last comment i mean)
That has not happened yet, so it seems. Probably because most Iraqi units can't function on their own so as to bust up. But the police is acting (Interior Ministry) on behalf of the Shiite (SCIRI). There's the Sadrist militia -- which exchange fire with American/Iraqi forces.
Yes, it's a civil war. But Bushco. are full of it.