2005/10/26

The Five Iraqs

The right-wing blogsphere is making big hey out of the fact that Iraq now has a constitution, but frankly I just get it. Yes it means that some kind of democratizing process is going on, but that document is a veritable blueprint for dissolving the Iraqi state.

The problem in Iraq is that you don't really have a single country but rather five. Sunni Iraq can be split into "the insurgents" and "the collaborators". Shia Iraq can be split into "those who would like to leave the federation peaceably" and, "those that would make civil war on the Sunnis in order to achieve a greater Shia state". And then there's the Kurds, homogeneous, wealthy (at least as compared to the Sunni middle), and well-armed.

Given this situation, it's a wonder that there's been a democratizing process at all. There is no cohesive Iraqi military to take over the security situation. Quite the opposite, Iraqi military units are homogeneous and are attached to their ethnic areas. I guess we'll see how long this decentralized republic lasts.

5 Comments:

What our esteemed friends from that particular blogosphere don't seem to understand is that Iraq is not this country. The constitution that they have is not the same as the constitution we have. That country is divided because of theocratic principles. We have in essence, created a theocracy over there.
It's like having different cultures in oh, say Tuscaloosa, compared to those in um, lemme think, San Fransisco. Even different religions and everything.
Kinda like that whole weird united, but independent, states concept. Weird. Wonder if that could ever work. Doh!
Despite the differing cultures in Tuscaloosa and San Francisco, I doubt very much that many people on the left coast are itching to bomb the good residents of AL into the stone age or drive them from their land--Nor the other way around.

The last time the "states" had a document of as weak as the Iraqi constitution, it was called the Articles of Confederation and that didn't work out so well. The last time we had ethno/political differences of the scale of what faces the Sunni and Shia, we had a civil war.

"Doh!" indeed my cowardly friend.
I doubt very much that many people on the left coast are itching to bomb the good residents of AL into the stone age or drive them from their land

You obviously haven't been to any of liberal marches here in San Fran recently.
"You obviously haven't been to any of liberal marches here in San Fran recently."

K. hasn't, but I sure as s**t have. Where were you the day after the war started? I was with a group that stayed one block ahead of the SF cops for six hours! And you know what, you don't have a clue what you'retalking about.

They're are cranks on both sides of the issue. But saying that the 1/10 of 1%, wild-eyed liberals, speak for the rest of us, is like saying that Fred Phelps speaks for you. Furthermore, I don't see any cafes being bombed in Alabama by us San Franciscans.

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